Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.001137 1.166764 1.344660 1.549189 1.777070 2.022397 2.305688
2025-06-08 0.713233 0.941238 1.209170 1.543460 1.945370 2.408989 2.979950
2025-06-15 0.559215 0.825866 1.165028 1.618336 2.197874 2.903267 3.815056
2025-06-22 0.437243 0.718698 1.103960 1.651443 2.389357 3.328653 4.591465
2025-06-29 0.332023 0.607823 1.013533 1.624467 2.488715 3.633617 5.226506
2025-07-06 0.267692 0.541118 0.970186 1.649590 2.650701 4.021232 5.981575
2025-07-13 0.217530 0.484559 0.930303 1.669781 2.800347 4.393868 6.728896
2025-07-20 0.179772 0.439964 0.900465 1.697870 2.958093 4.780664 7.508094
2025-07-27 0.147440 0.397146 0.865585 1.711093 3.089993 5.132633 8.249170
2025-08-03 0.114269 0.343343 0.801792 1.667180 3.126161 5.342049 8.790862
2025-08-10 0.092776 0.308651 0.766806 1.666509 3.227518 5.649276 9.482143
2025-08-17 0.071788 0.268274 0.713369 1.625552 3.257070 5.844974 10.012221
2025-08-24 0.058447 0.243852 0.689804 1.639360 3.383680 6.204171 10.813766
2025-08-31 0.045897 0.216877 0.656101 1.630297 3.470670 6.506191 11.543129
2025-09-07 0.040402 0.209615 0.665669 1.707046 3.713301 7.068308 12.693790
2025-09-14 0.033566 0.194902 0.654906 1.740962 3.880254 7.513359 13.676289
2025-09-21 0.025448 0.171055 0.616651 1.712609 3.929904 7.765297 14.361217
2025-09-28 0.020815 0.158424 0.604669 1.738675 4.081643 8.192679 15.337771
2025-10-05 0.016854 0.146226 0.591278 1.759660 4.223950 8.608287 16.306585
2025-10-12 0.013794 0.136275 0.582135 1.788893 4.383107 9.057643 17.342122
2025-10-19 0.010963 0.125213 0.567227 1.802654 4.511652 9.457372 18.306270
2025-10-26 0.007753 0.108238 0.529560 1.756920 4.516684 9.638568 18.911964
2025-11-02 0.005883 0.098015 0.511207 1.756219 4.612688 9.983719 19.799609